A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value....

https://direct-wiki.win/index.php/How_Do_I_Convert_-140_Odds_to_Implied_Probability%3F

A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value. Good team vs good bet? Sometimes not. Think of a +130 opener shrinking to -140. That shift tells a story: the market’s pricing momentum, not just skill