An inquiry into the impact of probabilistic thinking on daily life

https://privatebin.net/?6b30ce04b6754c43#Bm7ffUkHSvXsp8TjvM8kqoAVwFY3t5bEGH4eSH8eECpD

An inquiry into the impact of probabilistic thinking on daily life, illustrating how prior beliefs skew posterior updates in predictable ways.